Ted’s Tally, July 24, 2008
Beginning with this survey, we have narrowed the count to one of four possible outcomes for each state: Blue, Red, Tossup-Blue and Tossup-Red.
In this survey, we see the Democratic candidate, Sen. Barack Obama leading the Republican, Sen. John McCain, 207-183 electoral votes, without the toss-ups counted.
With the toss-ups, Obama leads 273-265, which is no change from last week, giving Obama +3 votes needed for victory.
Since the previous survey, however, Florida has shifting to the toss-up Red category.
Changes from last week’s survey
Florida 27, from Red to Tossup-Red.
2004 to 2008 projected changes
From Red to Blue (from 2004): Colorado, Iowa, and New Mexico
From Blue to Red (from 2004): None
Tossup Blue
Colorado 9
Michigan 17
New Mexico 5
New Hampshire 4
Pennsylvania 21
Wisconsin 10
Total: 66 ev
Tossup Red
Arkansas 6
Florida 27
Missouri 11
Nevada 5
Ohio 20
Virginia 13
Total: 82 ev
This survey is based on an assessment of state polls taken around the time this survey is released and doesn’t necessarily predict the actual outcome on November 4, 2008.
Ted Tally is a writer living in Las Vegas, NV and not the Academy Award winning playwright and screenwriter.
Popularity: 30% [?]
Related Posts
Post a Comment
You must be logged in to post a comment.
